Deployment of the strategic planning system

In the situation of increasing aggression of the U.S. and its NATO allies, we should expect tightening of economic sanctions against Russia, which requires a fast strengthening of the economic security system, the condition of which is still unsatisfactory[246]. The most obvious critical issues that require immediate solution include: a depressing state of the investment sector, most notably machine-tool construction, instrument making, electronic industry; degradation of the scientific and technical potential due to the multifold underfunding of R& D and factual elimination of sectoral science and design institutes during the privatization campaign; disruption of fundamental science due to its administrative suppression resulting from the reform of the RAS; increasing technological gap in key areas of growth of the new technological paradigm (nano, bioengineering and information technology); excessive dependence on foreign technology in critical industries (air transport, pharmaceutics, information and communication equipment).

To overcome the super-critical external dependence on imports of foreign equipment, large-scale import substitution programs are needed, balanced in terms of material, financial and labor resources. This cannot be done within the existing economy regulation system which has lost planning methods, including balance casting, target programming, scientific and technical forecasting, system design. It is necessary to deploy a strategic planning system with centralization of key functions at the level of the President of Russia.

The import substitution policy should be implemented within the framework of the general strategy of outstripping economic development, starting with the deployment of a strategic planning system designed to ensure systemic use of the available state resources for modernization and new industrialization of the economy based on the new technological paradigm.

The strategic planning methodology stipulates the existence of a system of long, medium and short-term forecasts and the selection of priorities for economic development, tools and mechanisms for their implementation, including a system of long-term concepts, medium-term programs and plans, institutions for organizing relevant activities, and methods of monitoring and accountability for achieving the goals.

The recently adopted draft law " On the state strategic planning" provides for creation of only some elements of this system, mainly procedures for preparation of relevant documents within the executive bodies.

Interactive procedures should be established for the development of long-term forecasts and concepts, medium-term programs and indicative plans for achieving agreed and approved development goals. It is advisable to legislatively establish the methods of control and mechanisms of responsibility of all strategic planning participants for the implementation of agreed activities and tasks on the basis of public-private partnership. Of particular importance is the integration into the system of state strategic planning of development institutions, major corporations, companies and banks with public participation, large private financial and industrial groups. Their combined production, financial and managerial potential should be integrated not only in the development of the strategy, but also in its implementation. To do this, the execution of indicative plans should be completed by signing the agreements between the state and economic entities, providing for mutual responsibility for achieving the set goals.

It is also necessary to set target indicators for the work of state development institutions, corporations and agencies in the fields of their activities that envisage creation of new production facilities belonging to the new technological paradigm that would be competitive in the world market, and to introduce mechanisms of actual responsibility for their timely achievement.

The system of forecasting and planning of socio-economic development of the country and its regions should be based on a nationwide legal framework and contain a unified organizational and legal mechanism for interaction between federal and regional government authorities, local self-government bodies, development institutions, scientific organizations and corporations. This mechanism should ensure the integration of interests and resource capabilities of all stakeholders in the development and implementation of federal, regional, municipal, departmental and corporate strategic plans and programs. The constituent entities of the Russian Federation and municipalities should be given the opportunity to participate in the development, financing and implementation of federal targeted programs carried out on their territory.

Strategic planning should be focused on the outstripping growth of the new technological paradigm. It is advisable to develop a 5-year program to modernize the economy on its basis, that would provide for measures to ensure outstripping development of its constituent engineering and manufacturing complexes, create a favorable macroeconomic environment and establish appropriate institutions and control circuits.

Strategic planning should take into account the transition of modern society to a knowledge-driven economy, the main factor of growth of which is scientific-technological progress. Launching of the economy to the trajectory of rapid and sustainable growth presupposes its transfer to the innovative path of development, which requires a fundamental increase in the role of science, both in the economy and in the system of public administration.

Given the importance of the strategic planning system and the fact that the Government of the Russian Federation, as the central executive body, is occupied with current tasks and cannot formulate strategic goals and monitor their achievement, it is proposed to create the State Strategic Planning Committee under the President of the Russian Federation, vesting respective powers in it.

The main threat of economic sanctions is the isolation of Russia from access to new technology. If it is not eliminated, in a few years our economy will be in a state of irreversible lag in mastering the production of the new technological paradigm, the rising of which to a long wave of growth will ensure the rearmament of both industry and the army at a qualitatively new level of efficiency. To prevent this lag, it is necessary, on the one hand, to increase multifold the allocations for R& D in key areas of growth of the new technological paradigm. On the other hand, we need to ensure a radical increase in the responsibility of the leaders of development institutions for the effective use of allocated funds. For this, it is necessary to create a modern system for managing the scientific and technological development of the country, covering all stages of scientific research and scientific-production cycle and oriented towards economy upgrade based on the new technological paradigm.

At present, the Russian Federation has a critical situation with the development of scientific research and implementation of technological modernization of production associated with transition to the new technological paradigm. The reasons for this unfavorable situation lie in chronic underfunding of the development of science, destruction of cooperation between science and production, aging of scientific personnel, and the " brain drain." In many ways, they were the result of privatization which entailed destruction of the applied science sector. The current reform of the RAS does not touch upon these fundamental problems in the management of scientific-technological progress, it does not envisage the improvement of institutional forms and methods of organization of applied research, it is not focused on the development and implementation of high-performance science-intensive technologies.

In order to implement a systematic approach to the management of scientific-technical progress, ensure end-to-end and comprehensive stimulation of innovation activities, it is expedient to create a super-departmental federal agency overseeing the development of state scientific, technical and innovative policies, coordinating the activities of sectoral ministries and departments in its implementation – the State Committee for Scientific and Technical Development of the Russian Federation (SCSTD RF) under the President of Russia.

The above proposals on strengthening the country's economic security in the conditions of the global hybrid war that is being launched against Russia, are focused mainly on improving the efficiency of state institutions. Along with this, favorable conditions should be maintained for entrepreneurial initiative and growth of private business activity. In addition to the above measures for the formation of domestic sources of cheap long-term credit, they should include a tax maneuver to transfer the tax burden from labor income to rent income, from production to the consumption of luxury goods, as well as measures to reduce the costs of infrastructure sector services, most notably the electric power industry, the unreasoned reform of which resulted in a multiple tariff increase for the convenience of monopoly intermediaries.

The implementation of these measures should be carried out within the next one or two years. Otherwise, the escalation of economic sanctions against Russia will entail the destruction of the reproductive circuits closing in on the external market, with a sharp drop in the level of income of economic entities, discontinuance of operation of many import-dependent production facilities, and bankruptcy of many enterprises dependent on external sources of credit. This will lead to a significant drop in the standard of living, making it possible for our adversaries to move on to the next phase of the chaotic war against Russia.

Unfortunately, Russia will not be able to form the core of the new world economic paradigm by itself. But it can still integrate itself into it on an equal footing. Its core is only being formed, and Russia is a welcome partner for all the countries participating in this process, for the following reasons. Firstly, due to the scientific and technical potential that exists at its disposal, and the opportunities for combining competitive advantages in the development of the new technological paradigm. This opens up opportunities for mutually beneficial production cooperation in high-tech economy sectors. Secondly, due to the ability to protect itself and its partners in any international conflict given the nuclear missile parity with the U.S. Thirdly, due to the incalculable natural wealth and rich raw materials base. Fourthly, due to the attractiveness of Russian culture and spiritual values, corresponding to the paradigm of sustainable development that creates the basis for the emerging integral world economic order. Fifthly, only Russia has experience of world leadership from among these countries. This became an important cementing element in formation of the BRICS union, in which Russia plays the role of an informal leader.

Unlike the imperialist world economic order characterized by the use of violent methods to safeguard the interests of American capital in international relations by unleashing wars, revolutions and coups on all continents of the planet, the integral order is characterized by establishment of mechanisms for mutually beneficial cooperation respecting the national sovereignty of different countries. The projects of Eurasian integration implemented with the participation of China, Russia and India are built exclusively on a voluntary basis, being founded on common interests and non-interference in internal affairs. The SCO and the BRICS operate proceeding from these premises, as well as the Eurasian Economic Union. China is the most important partner for the latter, with which all the countries of the EEU connect their long-term strategic partnership interests. China accounts for 20% of the EEU foreign trade turnover, mutual investments are rapidly growing, and cooperation ties are expanding.

The leaders of Russia and China have repeatedly stressed the great importance of strategic partnership, both for the development of the national economies of the two countries and for the formation of a new architecture of the world economic system. It is embodied in transition to settlements in national currencies, creation of joint development institutions, establishment of zones with a preferential regime of trade and economic cooperation in Eurasia. The plans for the future envision the creation of the world's largest common economic development space, which will effectively combine the competitive advantages of the national economies of the giant continent. At the same time, the distinctiveness of each country will be preserved, and as whole they will provide the diversity of cultures, jurisdictions, political systems and economic practices necessary for the further development of mankind.

 

 

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